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SYDNEY HOUSE PRICES SECOND LEAST AFFORDABLE

10/4/2017

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House prices debate continues unabated as the Federal Government tries to weigh in to the debate and signalling moves to avoid bursting of the bubble which now everyone says "exists" in Sydney and Melbourne. The spiraling investment market fueled by considerable equity from the investors own home and availability of interest only loans have exacerbated this asset class for lenders who have now been forced by the RBA as well as their own credit risk to dramatically wind down interest only loans. Investors account for 40% of the household borrowings which suggests that the people who are looking for their first home or even upgrade are being forced to look far away from the CBD. The State and the Federal Governments are poised to make announcements to tackle this crisis and the budget measures are the ones to look out for. The Government has categorically ruled out any changes to the incentives for negative gearing for the investors - however it is true that the RBA is factoring in the housing affordability parameter as a key one to affect their decision on future movement of cash rate. In any event, we are seeing the investor loan costs have gone up significantly although the cash rate has remained steady - which shows that the banks themselves has acknowledged the risk in the housing asset class. 

MARKET DATA


Australia Cash rate
Australia 90 day bank bill
Australia 10 y bond
US 10y Govt bond
AUD/USD
AUD/EUR
AUD/JPY
AUD/CNY
ASX 200
S&P 500
Dow Jones
Shanghai Composite
Brent Oil (USD per BBL)
Gold Spot (USD per oz)
Iron Ore
As at 7-Apr
1.50
1.78
2.54
2.31
0.7253
0.7062
83.08
5.1899
5,839
2,356
20,656
3,287
55.41
1,254
78.92
As at 31-Mar
1.50
1.79
2.67
2.39
0.7644
0.7161
85.67
5.2734
5,869
2,363
20,663
3,223
53.47
1,249
78.92
1 year ago 
2.00
2.25
2.40
1.72
0.7535
0.6627
81.91
4.8823
4937
2047.6
17576
2984
41.94
1240.69
52.19
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