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HOUSING AFFORDABILITY - A KEY FACTOR FOR LOWE

27/2/2017

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The biggest change in the change of guard in the RBA from Glenn Stevens to the current Governor Phillip Lowe is the issue of housing affordability particularly for first home buyers. Dr Lowe keeps talking about how a lowering of interest rates can affect the borrowing decisions of an already highly leveraged home buyers. The lenders have also started to significantly tighten the criteria for approval of dwelling loans. The investment loan market has seen a decline - which all points to an uncertain period in the housing market.
The other important factor - particularly for the investment market is the 30 June deadline for concessional super contributions which has resulted in a number of properties being offloaded. This may mean a softening of the market and we believe that Sydney apartment prices are more likely to plateau than grow. The RBA will be keenly watching this situation as it decides on interest rate decisions in the coming months. 

MARKET DATA


Australia Cash rate
Australia 90 day bank bill
Australia 10 y bond
US 10y Govt bond
AUD/USD
AUD/EUR
AUD/JPY
AUD/CNY
ASX 200
S&P 500
Dow Jones
Shanghai Composite
Brent Oil (USD per BBL)
Gold Spot (USD per oz)
Iron Ore
24-Feb
1.50
1.78
2.69
2.31
0.7717
0.7293
87.06
5.3015
5738
2367
20821
3253
55.99
1257
87.12
17-Feb
1.50
1.77
2.71
2.41
0.7645
0.7170
86.92
5.2582
5720
2316
20269
3196
56.70
1233
84.11
1 year ago
2.00
2.28
2.43
1.74
0.7107
0.6387
80.20
4.6338
4952
1917
16391
2860
33.01
1226
42.84
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