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235000+ JOBS TWEETS TRUMP - FED RATE RISE THIS WEEK

13/3/2017

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He promised that he will make America great again - well the February jobs growth data was something Trump was not going to let go without his customary tweets. He tweeted "235000+" which is above forecast with construction jobs gaining 58,000 continuing the upward trend from the beginning of 2017. Mining, manufacturing also maintained strong growth and the total industrial jobs added 95,000 during the month. 

The numbers almost make it a near certainty that the US Fed will increase rates when they meet tomorrow US time. Markets are certainly expecting the rate rise with 10 year US Treasuries rising further to 2.57%. Local bond market also rose with the 10 year Commonwealth closing at 2.94% and the spread at 37 basis points compared to about 55 basis points in October last year. 

market data 


Australia Cash rate
Australia 90 day bank bill
Australia 10 y bond
US 10y Govt bond
AUD/USD
AUD/EUR
AUD/JPY
AUD/CNY
ASX 200
S&P 500
Dow Jones
Shanghai Composite
Brent Oil (USD per BBL)
Gold Spot (USD per oz)
Iron Ore

As at 10-Mar
1.50
1.75
2.94
2.57
0.7522
0.7098
86.76
5.1983
5811
2372
20902
3212
51.37
1206
86.44

As at 3-Mar
1.50
1.79
2.83
2.48
0.7562
0.7188
86.28
5.2170
5729
2383
21005
3218
55.90
1226
87.57

1 year ago 
2.00
2.33
2.67
1.98
0.7488
0.6705
85.02
4.8591
5166
2022
17213
2810
40.39
1250
57.02

The comparison with last 12 months shows some interesting statistics. ASX 200 rose by 12.4% but trumped by the rise in Dow Jones by a whopping 21.4%. Iron ore prices jumped by 51.5% and the AUD strengthened against the EURO by 5.86%. The Commonwealth 10 year bond yields rose by 10.1% but in comparison the 10 year US treasury yields rose by 29.7%. 
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